Summary of #48 Carl-Otto Weiss: “three main cycles determine the Earth’s temperature”

00:00:00 - 00:15:00

Physicist Carl-Otto Weiss argues in his YouTube video that the Earth's climate is determined primarily by three natural cycles of solar origin, with CO2 playing only a minor role. He refutes three official claims about CO2 put forth by mainstream propaganda and presents evidence to show that natural causes are responsible for the Earth's temperature increase. Weiss shares a graph showing the estimates for climate sensitivity, indicating that the overall effect of CO2 is small. He argues that climate models are too primitive to be accurate, and there is a lot of uncertainty, and that water vapor amplification, which increases the warming of the Earth, is not supported by analysis of water content in the atmosphere.

• 00:00:00 In this section, physicist Carl Otto Weiss explains that the Earth's climate is primarily determined by three natural cycles of solar origin, and CO2 has only a minor role to play. He debunks three official claims about CO2 put forth by mainstream propaganda, citing 2,500 published investigations that illustrate how the influence of CO2 on the Earth's climate is unimportant. He then shows how proxies from temperature representations were used to reconstruct the Earth's temperature history, which aligns with historically known climate features. The Fourier process was applied to detect cycles in the data, for which Weiss found no previous works on in the climate literature.
• 00:05:00 In this section, Carl-Otto Weiss discusses the three main cycles that determine the Earth's temperature: the 1,000 year cycle, the 463 year cycle, and the DeVries cycle, which is 190 years. These cycles have already been known from local investigations, and their existence determines the global climate, which confirms the representation of the climate is realistic. The cycles are depicted in a Spectrum, and the combination of the three natural cycles, as seen in the red line on the graph, gives rise to Earth's climate. CO2 is expected to contribute to a small extent to the temperature increase. The three primary climate cycles correspond to the solar activity cycles, measured by the abundance of carbon 14 and beryllium 10, and solar activity can alter temperatures by influencing cloud formation.
• 00:10:00 In this section, Carl-Otto Weiss discusses the influence of planets on the solar magnetic field and solar activity, which in turn affects the Earth's climate through cloud cover. He explains that cycles, rather than CO2, determine the Earth's temperature, and shares a graph showing the estimates for climate sensitivity, indicating that the overall effect of CO2 is small. He also discusses a study by Australian colleagues who used neural networks to find patterns and calculate temperatures from 1850 to present day, which supports the idea that natural causes are responsible for the temperature increase rather than CO2. Weiss also refutes the claim that the CO2 emitted by industrialized countries never disappears, arguing that it is difficult to measure how CO2 disappears but the claim has no scientific basis, and that the nuclear tests of the 1960s showed that radioactive CO2 from such tests only lasts around six years.
• 00:15:00 In this section, Carl-Otto Weiss, a physicist, challenges the official claims about the present CO2 levels in the atmosphere and climate models. According to Weiss, the measurements and simulations differ, and the models on which the official claims rely on are not correct. He explains that the climate models are too primitive to be accurate and there is a lot of uncertainty. He argues that CO2 has a small effect on global warming and yet official models introduce the water vapor amplification, which increases the warming by a factor of five to ten. However, there have been analyzes of water content in the atmosphere, which show the opposite.