Summary of Yong Zhong: Basic Issues in the IPCC CO2 Narrative | Tom Nelson Pod #93

This is an AI generated summary. There may be inaccuracies.
Summarize another video · Purchase summarize.tech Premium

00:00:00 - 01:00:00

Yong Zhong, a physicist, discusses various flaws in the IPCC CO2 narrative in Tom Nelson's Pod #93. Zhong critiques the use of logarithmic curves, feedback factors, distribution sensitivity, and the assumption that CO2 can absorb over 30% of terrestrial radiation. He also analyses the limitations of instruments, experimental conditions, and measuring variables such as the vertical distribution of CO2. Additionally, Zhong found evidence suggesting that the parameters of the ozone layer observed by the Nimbus 3 mission were fabricated. Overall, Zhong emphasizes the importance of proper logical analysis, focusing on fundamental issues, and accurate estimations when discussing climate change.

00:00:00 In this section of the transcript, Yong Zhong introduces himself and his background in physics before delving into the basic issues in the IPCC CO2 narrative. He expresses his irritation toward incorrect descriptions in high school textbooks and public denunciations in political debates. He emphasizes the importance of proper logical analysis and gives examples to illustrate his point. Finally, he acknowledges the unfamiliarity and complexities of radiative forcing in regards to CO2 and global warming.
00:05:00 In this section, Yong Zhong critiques the IPCC CO2 narrative in the form of a simple diagram that includes the Keeling curve, logarithmic curve, and a linear equation. He argues that the logarithmic curve, which is used to establish a quantitative relation between CO2 concentration and radiative forcing, is not an empirical formula as it has not been built based on real experimental measurements. Zhong's research shows that the change in radiation forcing should be zero regardless of the CO2 concentration, and the linear equation that relates it to the change in surface temperature is wrapped like a gift, making it difficult to see through.
00:10:00 In this section, Yong Zhong discusses the IPCC's use of feedback factors and transmission to minimize the denominator in the relationship between emission temperature and radiation intensity. The effective emission temperature of the planet is argued to be 255 Kelvin rather than 288, which allows for a smaller denominator. The feedback factor can also be introduced to enhance or notch the response, but recent claims by Bjong Stevens suggest a smaller response can be derived by introducing mysterious factors. The so-called Calamity sensitivity, or equilibrium climate sensitivity, is considered a joke as it is based on parameters that can be justified by justifying the numbers found. Ultimately, Yong Zhong argues that the IPCC's use of inferential statistics to support their claims is questionable.
00:15:00 In this section, Yong Zhong discusses two issues in the IPCC CO2 narrative. Firstly, using a distribution of sensitivity, the IPCC exaggerates the potential impact of climate change by focusing on the long tails of climate sensitivity. Secondly, the claim that without greenhouse gases, the Earth's surface temperature would be 33 Kelvin lower is wrong since this number is based on a fabricated assumption that reduces solar radiation by a factor of 0.7, making the Earth not a black body with an emissivity of one. However, the effective outer-going long-wave radiation can still be represented by a black body, and its experimental observation at the top of the atmosphere is around 255 Kelvin.
00:20:00 In this section, Yong Zhong discusses the misconception that people interpret the emission temperature of 255K, associated with a model black body, as a real position where the atmosphere emissions occur. He also explains that there is no specific altitude at which all emissions from the atmosphere start to radiate outside. Zhong then goes on to explain the spectroscopy of CO2, mentioning its absorption and emission, and how it can be detected under proper experimental conditions. He further elaborates that among the three main bands of CO2 absorption, the one at 50 micrometers is of paramount importance and can be readily observed because the Earth acts as a gradient closer to a black body at a temperature of 288K. However, the observed absorption peak is the strongest one at 3 micrometers, and people mistakenly use it to demonstrate the greenhouse effect.
00:25:00 In this section, Yong Zhong discusses spectroscopy and absorption of CO2. He shows examples of measured and illustrated spectra, highlighting the resonant absorption and how CO2 concentration affects it. Zhong also explains the limitation of CO2 absorption in the atmosphere due to water vapor, and how the experiment was done in the NAV. He further shows the importance of noise correction and the sharpness of the central peak of CO2 absorption at 50 Micron wavelength.
00:30:00 In this section, Dr. Yong Zhong discusses the limitations of instruments and how they affect the accuracy of results. He provides a series of observable data as evidence, including a spectral absorption spectra of the atmosphere, a calculated result of CO2 absorption, a diagram showing transmission and total atmospheric radiation, and a diagram showing the sharpness and width of CO2 lines. He concludes that, based on his experience, the CO2 peak was digitally added rather than experimentally observed, and that the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere may be too low to be detected.
00:35:00 In this section, Yong Zhong discusses the challenges in measuring the radiative absorption and density of CO2 and other parameters through soundings, primarily the unknown variables such as the vertical distribution of CO2 and the absorption coefficient. Additionally, Zhong explains that there are limitations in picking up the CO2 signal due to low concentrations, and the sensitivity of the instruments used to measure it. The conversation later shifts towards discussing how much terrestrial radiation with radiation can be absorbed by CO2, which is a significant issue as it impacts the accuracy of predictions.
00:40:00 In this section, Yong Zhong explains how the widely accepted notion that CO2 can absorb over 30 percent of terrestrial radiation is based on an assumption that is not supported by empirical evidence. Zhong's analysis revealed that at most, only 16 percent of terrestrial radiation can be absorbed by CO2, and in the absence of water vapor, this proportion could be less than five percent. Zhong obtained this result by reexamining the original paper by John King Tindall, who measured the absorption spectrum of CO2 and found that the proportion of absorption from CO2 is very close to five percent. Zhong emphasizes the importance of focusing on fundamental issues rather than the implications of climate change.
00:45:00 In this section, Yong Zhong discusses the origins of the IPCC's numbers pertaining to climate sensitivity. He explains that the IPCC borrowed the idea of sensitivity from an early estimation that was made in 1894, and they continue to treat this number as the standard. Zhong argues that this is ridiculous, given that there have been more accurate estimations made since then that should be considered as well. He then turns to the topic of emissions and the greenhouse effect, explaining how these gases absorb surface radiation, reduce transmittance, and emit absorbed energy as back radiation, which causes the temperature to rise. Zhong also mentions the difficulty in measuring these emissions, as experimental conditions must be manipulated in order to detect them. Finally, he addresses some claims regarding the emission spectra of CO2 in the atmosphere and the ability to detect it.
00:50:00 In this section, Yong Zhong discusses the issues with the CO2 narrative presented by the IPCC. There is a claim that the ozone layer's third parameter is observed directly from satellites, but after reviewing the Nimbus 3 mission, Zhong concludes that the evidence is suspicious and digitally edited. He found a paragraph from the Nimbus 3 user guide written by the chief scientist, Rudolf Hanil, where the spectral interval suggests that something should be there, and the phase is taken as 180 degrees. The measurement is upside down and questionable because spectra are supposed to represent the distribution of radiation intensity, not total radiation intensity. Zhong suggests that the evidence was fabricated.
00:55:00 In this section of the video, Yong Zhong discusses how templates are used to detect something unknown and shares examples from his own experiments. He also talks about how the forcing change is fabricated and explains how the radiation force is the difference between two upward non-wave emissions. He discusses how this difference between the two emissions can be treated as a variable instead of a constant, which is what the IPCC does in their CO2 doubling proposition.

01:00:00 - 01:25:00

Yong Zhong discusses the flaws in IPCC's CO2 narrative and how they break the basic laws of physics to support their causality claims. Zhong argues that the assumptions made by IPCC regarding the stronger downward flux of radiation have no scientific basis and are just clever manipulations to justify their claims. He also brings up issues with observation versus experiment, stating that many climate science experiments cannot be proven and are unnecessary. Finally, Zhong argues that the concept of a 33 Kelvin greenhouse effect is untrue, and stopping CO2 emissions entirely will not reverse global warming.

01:00:00 In this section, Yong Zhong discusses issues with the IPCC's CO2 narrative and how they break basic laws of physics to justify their causality claims. Zhong describes how the IPCC calculates the decrease or imbalance of outgoing non-real radiation and the assumptions they make to do so. Additionally, he explains the limitations of using the Schwartz Shield equation for radiation transfer and how non-analytical solutions are used instead. Zhong also discusses the two stream approximation and the objective of working out the percentage of upward and downward atmosphere radiation.
01:05:00 In this section, Yong Zhong discusses the assumptions made by the IPCC CO2 narrative regarding the stronger downward flux of radiation than upward flux. Zhong argues that this assumption is required to work out the change in the upward auto-going radiation, however, this assumption is flawed, and the isotropic emission only exists in the absence of the surface. This assumption artificially makes the downward stronger than the upward radiation, and he explains that these researchers cleverly assume this. The uncertainty of the change in the relative forcing due to CO2 is 3-4, with a large uncertainty at the surface between surface and atmosphere, as large as 17 water parameter Square, according to Martin Wilt, the leader of a team that provides the energy inflow diagram for IPCC.
01:10:00 In this section, Yong Zhong argues that climate science is unnecessarily complicated, with climate scientists often making claims that cannot be checked or proven. He specifically targets the IPCC's CO2 narrative, stating that they use a crisis management approach to deal with the uncertainty in their predictions. Zhong also brings up the issue of observation versus experiment, claiming that many climate science experiments are not real experiments. Overall, Zhong presents an argument for simplifying the IPCC CO2 narrative and climate science in general.
01:15:00 In this section, Yong Zhong discusses a quantitative analysis of variables in the CO2 narrative. He presents an animation that shows transmission, absorption, and emission of radiation in the atmosphere. He explains that if the absorptivity of non-wave radiation changes, the emission also increases, causing the upward emission to increase as well. He then goes on to argue that neither the outgoing absorption nor the radiation forcing changes, no matter how much greenhouse gas is present in the atmosphere. Therefore, the outgoing non-wave radiation remains constant, even with an unlimited amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. There is no change in the radiation if one assumes the solar radiation is constant and that the atmosphere is static.
01:20:00 In this section, Yong Zhong discusses the Earth's natural capability to maintain temperatures, which means that the planet can keep its temperature without infrared absorbers. He presents two outcomes which suggest that the Earth can maintain its temperature. First, if absorption reaches 0.4 and total emission stops, the Earth can still keep its temperature. Second, if the transmissions reached 0.61 or 6 to 1 percent, the Earth can maintain its temperature without infrared absorbers. However, Zhong acknowledges that this is just a preliminary investigation.
01:25:00 In this section, Yong Zhong discusses his argument that the claim of a 33 Kelvin greenhouse effect is untrue and that the CO2 absorption at 15 microns in the atmosphere is calculated rather than directly observed. He also highlights that CO2 emission at 15 microns in the atmosphere is unlikely to be observable due to low temperature and density. Furthermore, he argues that the greenhouse is a force and energy rather than the common misconception of it being temperature. Additionally, he believes that thermal radiation remains to be explored further both theoretically and experimentally. Finally, he criticizes climate researchers who believe that stopping the release of CO2 entirely could reverse global warming and considers this belief a "joke."