Summary of #42 - Valentina Zharkova: “in next 30 yrs, global warming prob. will be last thing in our mind”

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00:00:00 - 01:00:00

Valentina Zharkova, a specialist in solar and plasma physics, discusses her research on sunspots, solar activity and magnetic fields and makes predictions about global warming. Her team used automated feature extraction to detect sunspots and the team used this to accurately predict solar activity for the upcoming cycles. Zharkova argues that global warming will no longer be a top concern due to an upcoming Grand Solar Minimum and decreased solar radiation, which will lead to a mini ice age. Zharkova emphasizes the need to focus on producing food and energy rather than propagating global warming and encourages people to prepare for the ground solar minimum that will occur in 2020-2053, a unique event that none of the current generation has observed before.

00:00:00 In this section, Valentina Zharkova discusses her background in solar and plasma physics and her research on sunspots. She explains that sunspots are the roots of two-point loops with different polarity and that they are part of a latitudinal distribution called butterfly diagrams. She also discusses how the activity of sunspots was defined in the 19th century by wolf and other people and how the magnetic field in sunspots is 1000 times higher than the surrounding area. Zharkova's research has led her to predict that in the next 30 years, global warming will be the last thing on our minds.
00:05:00 In this section, Valentina Zharkova discusses the solar cycle and its connection to sunspots and magnetic loops. She explains that the solar cycle can be observed through space observations of sensible cycles, which show that the solar cycle lasts around 11 years and is characterized by active magnetic loops that emit radiation to Earth and other planets. Zharkova also covers Eugene Parker's 1955 theory of the solar dynamo, which provides an explanation for why the magnetic field changes and produces sunspots that migrate from the southern to the northern hemisphere and vice versa. Her team used automated feature extraction to detect sunspots in solar images, leading to the introduction of automated transport index and advancements in the understanding of the solar cycle.
00:10:00 In this section, Valentina Zharkova explains how her team attempted to automate the detection of solar activity index, but found it challenging due to the variability in observer opinions. Instead, they used full disk magnetograms and principal component analysis to separate the magnetic field into separate components and discovered that the eigenvectors and eigenvalues always come in pairs which can provide precise information about the activity of the sun. They attribute all of this to an 11-year solar cycle that can be predicted with a high degree of accuracy and suggest that global warming will soon be inconsequential compared to the natural cycles of the sun.
00:15:00 In this section, Valentina Zharkova discusses the discovery of eigenvectors related to dipole and quadruple magnetic sources, which cover 95% of all magnetic data. By quantifying these components using a hamiltonian approach, they were able to predict solar activity for Cycle 25 and 26 with high accuracy, and found that Cycle 25's components were delayed in phase and Cycle 26's amplitudes were nearly anti-phase. This effect is due to a beating effect in waves, which can cause variations in amplitude. Zharkova believes that in the next 30 years, global warming may no longer be a top concern as solar activity and its effects may become more prominent.
00:20:00 In this section, Valentina Zharkova discusses the research conducted to calculate the solar activity amplitude over the course of several cycles. The amplitude decreases with each cycle until cycle 26, in which it drops significantly. This change is caused by what Zharkova calls the "beat in effect," in which the frequency of two waves close to 11 years with a slight difference causes a beating effect. By reflecting the negative magnetic field to the positive, Zharkova was able to obtain a summary curve that describes solar activity. This curve allowed for the creation of a model to predict solar activity, including cycle 24, which was not previously available and was found to be correspondingly accurate to the real measurements.
00:25:00 In this section, Valentina Zharkova discusses her research indicating that we are on the verge of a mini ice age and that global warming will be the last thing on our minds in the next 30 years. She notes that the temperature will decrease after cycle 25's maximum, as solar activity dramatically drops causing the sun to stop sending radiation to Earth and other planets. The results of Zharkova’s mini ice age research was presented in 2015 and precisely predicted ground solar minima that were observed in the past, including the Dalton minimum and Mounter minimum, using a precise method of eigenvectors, not dependent on human preferences or maybes.
00:30:00 In this section, Valentina Zharkova explains the decrease in temperature during the previous Grand Solar Minimum and how it affected the Earth. During the Grand Solar Minimum, the changing of the jet streams caused significant drops in temperature, resulting in extended snow and ice coverage in different areas of the world. The decrease in magnetic field on the sun affected other planets as well, leading to giant wiggles in the atmosphere. These findings were investigated by NASA, although some scientists have forgotten about it. Zharkova predicts that in the next 30 years, global warming will not be a top concern due to the upcoming Grand Solar Minimum and decreased solar radiation.
00:35:00 In this section, Valentina Zharkova presents evidence from the Belgian Observatory showing that Cycle 25 of the carbon cycle is producing an absence of spots, which are responsible for energy production and heating. As a result, temperatures have begun decreasing and will continue to do so over the next 30 years, eventually leading to a mini ice age. Zharkova cites examples of snowfall and winter storms occurring in unlikely places such as Ukraine and Saudi Arabia. She also notes that the upcoming grand solar minimum, set to begin in the late 2020s, will mark a significant decrease in the strength of the carbon cycle and temperatures worldwide.
00:40:00 In this section, Valentina Zharkova discusses the effects of global cooling that will occur after 2025-2028, after a period of female type events which are related to El Nino and El Nina. There will be cooling due to the exchange of heat between the sun and the ocean, which absorb the heating and produce it back into the atmosphere. Not only will there be cooling from this interaction, but there will also be more volcanic eruptions and ashes contributing to the cooling of our atmosphere during cycle 26. Zharkova emphasizes the need for energy resources to resolve this problem rather than blaming fossil fuel and encourages us to prepare for the ground solar minimum that will occur in 2020-2053, a unique event that none of the current generation has observed before.
00:45:00 In this section, Valentina Zharkova discusses the importance of focusing on producing food and energy rather than solely propagating global warming in the next 30 years. She argues that global warming will become a lesser concern, and instead, cooling will become more critical to address. The conversation also touches on the year without a summer in the 1800s, which was caused by volcanic activity, and how it demonstrated that the Earth's atmosphere is heated more by solar radiation than by the internal heat of the planet. She also argues that CO2 emissions are a consequence of heating, not the reason for it, and that the main energy source comes from UV emissions from the sun rather than the low-energy infrared radiation from CO2.
00:50:00 In this section, Valentina Zharkova discusses her research on the magnetic field and solar cycles and how they relate to global warming. She explains that her team discovered that there are very precise oscillations in the magnetic field that indicate some planetary or solar motion that produces a 2100 year period cycle. This cycle has been found through oscillations of solar irradiance in the past 10,000 years and in the biomass of trees. Zharkova also discusses how her team calculated the baseline and discovered that the zero line oscillates by the factor of 20 with an amplitude 20 times lower than solar cycles but still oscillates very precisely. She concludes that in the next 30 years, global warming will not be the most concerning thing, as we will be dealing with much more significant issues.
00:55:00 this section, Valentina Zharkova discusses the relationship between the solar radiance and the Earth's magnetic field, which are both influenced by the solar minimum and maximum cycles. She explains how the sun's motion around the solar system's Body Center affects the Earth's radiation and magnetic field, which can impact the Earth's temperature. Zharkova mentions a retracted paper that suggested the sun could move closer to the Earth, causing an increase in radiation and temperature. However, she argues that the sun's solar inertial motion, which takes into account the effect of all the planets in the solar system, is the key factor that affects the Earth's radiation and temperature.

01:00:00 - 01:20:00

Valentina Zharkova explains how the natural motion of the sun affects the Earth's heating, and calculates the distance between the sun and Earth which is decreasing due to the sun's natural motion, causing the Earth to experience more heating during certain months. She predicts that this increase in radiation will lead to a 2.5-degree increase in temperature by 2060, but argues that this increase in temperature is not within our control as it is determined by the cyclic movements of the sun and Earth. Zharkova also explains that the extra heating comes from the sun, rather than from CO2 emissions, which many people wrongly assume to be the primary cause. She stresses that the main threat stems from the Grand solar minimum, which will exacerbate snow accumulation and food scarcity in the next 30 years, making surviving the grand solar minimum should be the main concern rather than global warming.

01:00:00 In this section, Valentina Zharkova explains how the natural motion of the sun affects the Earth's heating. The sun's elliptical orbit is affected by its natural motion, causing it to move closer to the Earth during the days of spring equinox in March, and further away in other months. Anthropogenic global warming theorists claim that the Earth moves together with the sun and therefore, natural motion does not exist. However, the natural motion of the sun has been calculated by scientists and its effect on the sun's motion is considered in astro-physics. Zharkova analyzed daily distances of the sun and Earth produced by NASA and the Paris Mountain Observatory and found that the distance between the sun and Earth is decreasing due to the sun's natural motion, causing the Earth to experience more heating during certain months.
01:05:00 In this section, Zharkova explains that the changing distance between the sun and Earth affects the amount of radiation that the Earth receives, and this change in distance can cause extra heating, leading to an increase in temperature. In the current millennium, the summer solstice has changed from June to July, resulting in extra radiation that causes heating, which will last until 2600. This is published in Zharkova's book and can be accessed on her website.
01:10:00 In this section, the speaker, Valentina Zharkova, explains the changes in solar radiation based on the distance between the sun and the Earth. She argues that the radiation from the sun can be calculated using the inverse squared law and that the radiation is increasing due to the shifting of the Earth's distance from the sun. Zharkova predicts that this increase in radiation will lead to a 2.5-degree increase in temperature by 2060. However, she argues that, ultimately, this increase in temperature is not within our control as it is determined by the cyclic movements of the sun and Earth.
01:15:00 In this section of the video, Dr. Valentina Zharkova discusses her findings on the source of global warming. She explains that the extra heating comes from the sun, rather than from CO2 emissions, which many people wrongly assume to be the primary cause. Zharkova also explains the erroneous assumptions made by scientists about the energy produced by CO2, while she stresses that the main threat stems from the Grand solar minimum, which will exacerbate snow accumulation and food scarcity in the next 30 years.
01:20:00 In this section, the speaker explains that over the next 30 years, the focus will shift from global warming to surviving a minimum grand solar maximum. As the current solar cycle reaches its maximum, there are still loops, flares, and emissions being generated despite the reduction in sunspots. However, as the solar surface activity decreases in the descending phase, the reduction in heating from the sun will become evident and will cause a minimum to come, leading to a reduction in food production. The speaker emphasizes that the global warming issue is not now essential, and surviving the grand solar minimum should be the main concern.