Summary of Jeremy Nieboer: The Greatest Deception | Tom Nelson Pod #151

00:00:00 - 00:45:00

In this YouTube video titled "Jeremy Nieboer: The Greatest Deception | Tom Nelson Pod #151," Jeremy Nieboer discusses his belief that climate change is a "terrible deception" based on belief rather than evidence. He argues that lawyers are good at analyzing evidence and outlines four key points: solar radiation, heat transfer, the greenhouse effect, and saturation. Nieboer emphasizes the dominance of water vapor as the main greenhouse gas, mentions the importance of empirical evidence from geological ages and ice ages, and criticizes the lack of falsifiable observational evidence produced by the IPCC to support their claims of climate change. He also highlights historical periods of high temperatures and criticizes politicians for prioritizing votes over the truth.

• 00:00:00 In this section, Jeremy Nieboer discusses his journey into the climate change issue and his belief that it is a "terrible deception" based on belief rather than evidence. He explains that he is not a climate scientist but argues that lawyers are good at analyzing evidence. Nieboer then outlines four key points he wants to discuss: solar radiation, heat transfer, the greenhouse effect, and saturation. He explains that saturation is the phenomenon where CO2 is unable to absorb more radiation because it has already absorbed all that is available to it. Finally, Nieboer mentions the importance of empirical evidence, citing examples from geological ages and ice ages.
• 00:05:00 In this section, Jeremy Nieboer discusses the significance of the dipole moment in greenhouse gases such as CO2. He explains that the dipole moment allows for the polarity of the electrical charge between two atoms in a molecule, making the greenhouse gases opaque and not transparent. Nieboer also emphasizes the dominance of water vapor as the main greenhouse gas, comprising 95% of the content, while carbon dioxide represents a much smaller percentage. He mentions that methane, despite its smaller percentage, has a negligible effect on temperature. Additionally, Nieboer mentions the transfer of heat from the planet's surface, highlighting that a significant portion of the sun's rays are absorbed by aerosols in the upper atmosphere and by clouds and ice.
• 00:10:00 In this section, Jeremy Nieboer discusses the different mechanisms through which energy is transferred in the atmosphere. He explains that 23% of the sun's rays are directly absorbed by CO2, ozone, and aerosols, leaving 48% for other processes such as evaporation and convection. Only 5% is transferred through conduction, while the remaining 18% is transferred through radiation. Nieboer emphasizes that radiation is a fascinating subject and focuses specifically on how absorption of photons by greenhouse gases leads to the conversion of heat. He also explains how temperature changes with altitude in the troposphere and the significance of the base of the stratosphere in this process.
• 00:15:00 In this section, the speaker discusses the process of convection and radiation in the atmosphere. He explains that when air reaches the bottom of the stratosphere, it enters a constant temperature zone called the isothermic conditions. At this point, radiation takes over from convection. The speaker mentions the miraculous nature of this process, where the rising CO2 molecules and the descent of cool molecules create a balance of temperature on Earth. He also mentions the greenhouse effect and emphasizes that there is no physical greenhouse or blanket in the sky. Instead, the greenhouse effect involves the exchange of photons for heat through absorption and re-emission. The speaker further explains the importance of quanta of energy, frequency of radiation, and the interaction with water vapor in understanding the greenhouse effect.
• 00:20:00 In this section, Jeremy Nieboer discusses the concepts of frequency and wavelength in relation to the absorption of radiation by CO2. He explains that frequency refers to the number of crests and troughs in a wave over a given distance, while wavelength is the distance between crests and troughs. Nieboer emphasizes that CO2 absorbs radiation in the 667.5 wavelength band, which is close to the maximum point of radiation at 15 degrees Celsius. He also highlights the significance of water vapor, which absorbs 65% of the radiation, compared to CO2's absorption of 35%. Despite CO2 only occupying a small proportion of greenhouse gases, Nieboer argues that its absorption in the warm part of the spectrum makes it more important than its density suggests. He asserts that the greenhouse effect, achieved through the absorption and re-emission process of radiation, is crucial for maintaining a habitable temperature on Earth. Nieboer then introduces the concept of saturation, explaining that CO2 is saturated with CO2 rather than radiation. He argues that adding more CO2 does not add more radiation, as the CO2 has already absorbed what is available.
• 00:25:00 In this section, Jeremy Nieboer discusses the effectiveness of CO2 in relation to temperature. He presents a chart showing the absorption of radiation by different levels of CO2 in the atmosphere, emphasizing that CO2 levels are logarithmic in their impact. He explains that once CO2 reaches a certain level, adding more does not make a significant difference. Nieboer then looks at the effect of doubling CO2 on climate sensitivity and analyzes a diagram showing radiation levels with and without greenhouse gases. He concludes that doubling CO2 only results in a tiny expansion of the temperature gap and an increase of three watts per square meter, which he suggests is not significant.
• 00:30:00 In this section, Jeremy Nieboer discusses the deception surrounding climate change and the failure to address the concept of saturation in the greenhouse effect. He highlights the hypocrisy of Stephen Schneider, who became a prominent advocate for climate change but failed to disclose the fact that he had previously identified the saturation of CO2 in 1971. Nieboer also debunks the idea that the slight increase in temperature caused by doubling CO2 results in more water vapor and a stronger greenhouse effect, arguing that there is no evidence of increased water vapor in the atmosphere. He concludes by expressing frustration with the misrepresentation of facts and the spreading of false information about climate change.
• 00:35:00 In this section, Jeremy Nieboer discusses the lack of falsifiable observational evidence produced by the IPCC to support their claims of climate change. He argues that climate deception relies on fabricated modeling and the suppression of contradictory evidence. He suggests visiting the website of Dr. Roy Spencer at Alabama University, who is a custodian of satellite evidence since 1979. Nieboer claims that the satellite evidence, which cannot be manipulated, shows that the temperature of the planet has only increased by 0.45 degrees since 1980. He also presents three charts showcasing the lack of causal correlation between high temperature and high CO2 throughout the last 570 million years, refuting the notion that CO2 levels are historically high and dangerous. Additionally, he mentions the Vostok ice data that indicates a significant time gap between rising temperature and rising CO2 during ice age transitions. Finally, he cites the Greenland High School evidence, which shows that there have been at least 20 periods in the past with higher temperatures than today.
• 00:40:00 In this section, Jeremy Nieboer discusses the historical periods of high temperatures, such as the Holocene warm period, the Roman period, and the medieval warming period, which were all warmer than the present level of temperature. He criticizes the IPCC for claiming that the current period is the warmest in 425,000 years, stating that it is a deceptive and fraudulent statement. He also emphasizes that there is no contradictory evidence to support the IPCC's hypothesis, as no distinguished professor in atmospheric physics would risk their career to support it. Nieboer mentions his regular contact with distinguished scientists like William Happer and expresses admiration for their work. He concludes by mentioning the rising political awareness of the costs associated with climate policies and the impact on the poor, citing an election in the UK where the current government faced consequences due to the high costs of emissions zones and transportation.
• 00:45:00 In this section, Jeremy Nieboer criticizes politicians for being unwilling to confront the truth about the Dogma (presumably referring to a specific policy or ideology) because they are more concerned with its impact on their votes. He expresses disdain for the dishonorable nature of this behavior. However, he believes that with the upcoming general election, there may be an opportunity to shift votes away from the ruling party by highlighting the cost and folly of their Net Zero policy, and hopes that this will force them to take notice and make changes.